Will the committed scope land in time? Monte Carlo · 10,000 simulations against historical throughput
Each simulation samples real weekly throughput until the committed scope is delivered. Markers: 50th / 85th / 95th percentile finish, and your target date.
Where do I need to intervene? in-flight work ranked by risk · how far past the normal cycle time each item has run
past p85 cycle
past p95 cycle
unassigned
| ID | Title | Status | Active age | vs typical | Total age | Owner |
|---|
How predictable is delivery? cycle-time spread of completed work
How fast are we delivering? completed items per week
Where is the work sitting? open items by current status · To Do = queue not yet started
A large To Do bar means scope is queued faster than it's being pulled into flow.